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How many people would you have to have in a group so that there is a probability of at least 0.6 that at least two of them will have the same birthday?
Wiki User
∙ 11y ago
Let x be the number of people:
P(among x, at least two people have same birthday) = 2/x * 1/(x-1) >0.6
2/[(x)x-1] = 0.6
2 / 0.6> x^2 - x
x^2 - x > 10/3
3x^2 - 3x - 10 > 0
x > [3+- (3^2-4*3*(-10))^(1/2)] / 2*3
x > (3 + (9+120)^(1/2)) /6
x > 2.39
Therefore x = 3
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∙ 11y ago
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What is the probabililty of at least 2 people same birthday from a group of 13 people?
19.4%CALCULATION:The probability of at least 2 people having the same birthday in a group of 13people is equal to one minus the probability of non of the 13 people having thesame birthday.Now, lets estimate the probability of non of the 13 people having the same birthday.(We will not consider 'leap year' for simplicity, plus it's effect on result is minimum)1. We select the 1st person. Good!.2. We select the 2nd person. The probability that he doesn't share the samebirthday with the 1st person is: 364/365.3. We select the 3rd person. The probability that he doesn't share the samebirthday with 1st and 2nd persons given that the 1st and 2nd don't share the samebirthday is: 363/365.4. And so forth until we select the 13th person. The probability that he doesn'tshare birthday with the previous 12 persons given that they also don't sharebirthdays among them is: 353/365.5. Then the probability that non of the 13 people share birthdays is:P(non of 13 share bd) = (364/365)(363/365)(362/365)∙∙∙(354/365)(353/365)P(non of 13 share bd) ≈ 0.805589724...Finally, the probability that at least 2 people share a birthday in a group of 13people is ≈ 1 - 0.80558... ≈ 0.194 ≈ 19.4%The above expression can be generalized to give the probability of at least x =2people sharing a birthday in a group of n people as:P(x≥2,n) = 1 - (1/365)n [365!/(365-n)!]
What are the odds of having kids with the same birthday but a different year?
In probability theory, the birthday problem, or birthday paradox[1] pertains to the probability that in a set of randomly chosen people some pair of them will have the same birthday. In a group of 10 randomly chosen people, there is an 11.7% chance. In a group of at least 23 randomly chosen people, there is more than 50% probability that some pair of them will both have been born on the same day. For 57 or more people, the probability is more than 99%, and it reaches 100% when the number of people reaches 367 (there are a maximum of 366 possible birthdays). The mathematics behind this problem leads to a well-known cryptographic attack called the birthday attack. See Wikipedia for more: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_paradox
What is the probabililty of at least 2 people same birthday from a group of n people then how large ned n for the probability to be greater than 0.5?
It is 1 - 365Cn/365n. This is greater than 0.5 for n greater than or equal to 23.
What is the probability that at least 2 people in the class of 25 will share the same birthday?
Birthdays are not distributed uniformly over a year but if, for the sake of probability games you assume that they are, then ignoring leap years, the probability is 0.5687. Including leap years, it is slightly lower.
How likely is it that in a group of 15 people who don't know each other at least 2 share a birthday?
10^%
What is the probabililty of at least 2 people same birthday from a group of 12 people?
The probability of at least 2 people in a group of npeople sharing a common birthday can be expressed more easily (mathematically) as 1 minus the probability that nobody in the group shares a birthday. Consider two people. The probability that they don't have a common birthday is 365/365 x 364/365. So the probability that they do share a birthday is 1-(365/365 x 364/365) = 1-365x364/3652 Now consider 3 people. The probability that at least 2 share a common birthday is 1-365x364x363/3653 And so on so that the probability that at least 2 people in a group of n people having the same birthday = 1-(365x363x363x...x365-n+1)/365n = 1-365!/[ (365-n)! x 365n ]In the case of 12 people this equates to 0.16702 (or 16.7%).
What is the probability of at least one birthday match among a group of 41 people?
The probability of at least 1 match is equivalent to 1 minus the probability of there being no matches. The first person's birthday can fall on any day without a match, so the probability of no matches in a group of 1 is 365/365 = 1. The second person's birthday must also fall on a free day, the probability of which is 364/365 The probability of the third person also falling on a free day is 363/365, which we must multiply by the probability of the second person's birthday being free as this must also happen. So for a group of 3 the probability of no clashes is (363*364)/(365*365). Continuing this way, the probability of no matches in a group of 41 is (365*364*363*...326*325)/36541 This can also be written 365!/(324!*36541) Which comes to 0.09685... Therefore the probability of at least one match is 1 - 0.09685 = 0.9032 So the probability of at least one match is roughly 90%
What is the probability that at least 2 people in a random group of 6 people have a birthday on the same day of the week?
1-365/[(365-6)*365^6] = 1 Is this O.K ?
What is the probabililty of at least 2 people same birthday from a group of 13 people?
19.4%CALCULATION:The probability of at least 2 people having the same birthday in a group of 13people is equal to one minus the probability of non of the 13 people having thesame birthday.Now, lets estimate the probability of non of the 13 people having the same birthday.(We will not consider 'leap year' for simplicity, plus it's effect on result is minimum)1. We select the 1st person. Good!.2. We select the 2nd person. The probability that he doesn't share the samebirthday with the 1st person is: 364/365.3. We select the 3rd person. The probability that he doesn't share the samebirthday with 1st and 2nd persons given that the 1st and 2nd don't share the samebirthday is: 363/365.4. And so forth until we select the 13th person. The probability that he doesn'tshare birthday with the previous 12 persons given that they also don't sharebirthdays among them is: 353/365.5. Then the probability that non of the 13 people share birthdays is:P(non of 13 share bd) = (364/365)(363/365)(362/365)∙∙∙(354/365)(353/365)P(non of 13 share bd) ≈ 0.805589724...Finally, the probability that at least 2 people share a birthday in a group of 13people is ≈ 1 - 0.80558... ≈ 0.194 ≈ 19.4%The above expression can be generalized to give the probability of at least x =2people sharing a birthday in a group of n people as:P(x≥2,n) = 1 - (1/365)n [365!/(365-n)!]
What are the odds of having kids with the same birthday but a different year?
In probability theory, the birthday problem, or birthday paradox[1] pertains to the probability that in a set of randomly chosen people some pair of them will have the same birthday. In a group of 10 randomly chosen people, there is an 11.7% chance. In a group of at least 23 randomly chosen people, there is more than 50% probability that some pair of them will both have been born on the same day. For 57 or more people, the probability is more than 99%, and it reaches 100% when the number of people reaches 367 (there are a maximum of 366 possible birthdays). The mathematics behind this problem leads to a well-known cryptographic attack called the birthday attack. See Wikipedia for more: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_paradox
What is the probabililty of at least 2 people same birthday from a group of n people then how large ned n for the probability to be greater than 0.5?
It is 1 - 365Cn/365n. This is greater than 0.5 for n greater than or equal to 23.
What is the probability that at least 2 people have the same birth month in a group of 8 people?
Birth months are not uniformly distributed across the year. However, if yo assume that they are, the probability is 0.9536 (approx).
What is the probability that at least 2 people in the class of 25 will share the same birthday?
Birthdays are not distributed uniformly over a year but if, for the sake of probability games you assume that they are, then ignoring leap years, the probability is 0.5687. Including leap years, it is slightly lower.
What is the smallest number of people in a room where the probability of two of them having the same birthday is at least 50 percent?
23. The probability that at least two people in a room share a birthday can be expressed more simply, mathematically, as 1 minus the probability that nobody in the room shares a birthday.Imagine a fairly simple example of a room with only three people. The probability that any two share a birthday is :1 - [ 365/365 x 364/365 x 363/365]i.e. 1-P(none of them share a birthday)=1 - [ (365x364x363) / 3653 ]=0.8%Similarly,P(any two share a birthday in a room of 4 people)= 1 - [ 365x364x363x362 / 3654 ] = 1.6%If you keep following that logic eventually you getP(any two share a birthday in a room of 23 people)=1 - [(365x364x...x344x343) / 36523 ] = 51%
How likely is it that in a group of 15 people who don't know each other at least 2 share a birthday?
10^%
What is the probability that a group of 6 people selected at random from 7 men and 7 women will have at least 3 women?
Using the hypergeometric distribution, the answer is 2114/3003 = 0.7040
If 20 percent of people who enter store buy something and 3 people enter what is the probability of at least one sale?
The probability of at least one event occurring out of several events is equal to one minus the probability of none of the events occurring. This is a binomial probability problem. Go to any binomial probability table with p=0.2, n=3 and the probability of 0 is 0.512. Therefore, 1-0.512 is 0.488 which is the probability of at least 1 sale.
