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The risk of an accident - fatal or otherwise - is not constant over a person's lifetime. Young and inexperienced drivers or elderly drivers with slower reflexes, for example, are at higher risk. Also, different age groups make different numbers of road trips. In real life, therefore, it is quite unreasonable to extrapolate the 1 fatal accident in 4 million trips to 50,000 trips.

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Q: The probability is 1 in 4000000 that a single auto trip in the US will result in a fatality Over a lifetime an average US driver takes 50000 trips Probability of fatal accident over lifetime?
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