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7000 x 25 = 175000 say every flight carries 113 people

175000 x 113 = 19775000

113/19775000 = 0.0000057

So every million people who fly on the plane, 5.7 may die

However, the probability is almost definitely a lot less, doe to the fact the crash may have been in freak weather conditions, or other variables such as better safety procedures

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