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It's unlikely to happen
Probability is measured on a scale of 0 to 1 meaning at 0 it will not happend but at 1 it will happen So a negative event is impossible
P(A given B)*P(B)=P(A and B), where event A is dependent on event B. Finding the probability of an independent event really depends on the situation (dart throwing, coin flipping, even Schrodinger's cat...).
It is the probability of an event that will definitely happen.
The answer depends on the nature of the event. If the event is composed of sub-events then a tree diagram may help but if not, it is irrelevant.