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If 15 alarm clocks are produced every 45 minutes means, then 1 is produced on an average of every 3 minutes. There would be 100 assembled over 5 hours (300 minutes).
motive, means, and opportunity
No. Probable means that a particular outcome is likely. Probability means the analytic likelihood of a particular outcome. Analysis (analytic, i.e. the method) means, for example, the evaluation of the outcomes to determine how well the experimental probability aligns with the theoretical probability.
1 (It means that the event is 100% probable or certain.)
It means it's 1:11