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Let's try this example (best conceived of as a squared 2x2 table with sums to the side). The comma here is an AND logical operator. P(A, B) = 0.1 P(A, non-B) = 0.4 P(non-A, B) = 0.3 P(non-A, non-B) = 0.2 then P(A) and P(B) are obtained by summing on the different sides of the table: P(A) = P(A, B) + P(A, non-B) = 0.1 + 0.4 = 0.5 P(B) = P(A,B) + P(non-A, B) = 0.1 + 0.3 = 0.4 so P(A given B) = P (A, B) / P (B) = 0.1 / 0.4 = 0.25 also written P(A|B) P(B given A) = P (A,B) / P (A) = 0.1 / 0.5 = 0.2 The difference comes from the different negated events added to form the whole P(A) and P(B). If P(A, non-B) = P (B, non-A) then P(A) = P(B) and also P(A|B) = P(B|A).

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Q: Give the example of why probabilities of A given B and B given A are not same?
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What is theoretical probability and theoretical probability?

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