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You improve your model through a better understanding of the underlying processes.

Although more trials will improve the accuracy of experimental probability they will make no difference to the theoretical probability.

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What happens to theoretical and experimental probability when you increase the number of trials?

When you increase the number of trials of an aleatory experiment, the experimental probability that is based on the number of trials will approach the theoretical probability.


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What does a negative percent of the difference mean between experimental and theoretical probabilities of a given event?

First, it is important to note that it is very unlikely that the experimental and theoretical probabilities will agree exactly. As an extreme example, if you toss a coin an odd number of times, the resulting experimental probability cannot possibly be exactly 1/2. It should be easy to see that this remains true even if the coin is tossed googleplex+1 number of times.A negative difference could be because the number of trials was too small and, with an increased number of trials, the experimental probability would gradually increase towards the theoretical probability.It is also possible that the theoretical model is wrong. You may have assumed that the coin that was being tossed was fair when it was not. Or there were some factors that you failed to take full account of in your theoretical model.Or, of course, it could be a mixture of both.First, it is important to note that it is very unlikely that the experimental and theoretical probabilities will agree exactly. As an extreme example, if you toss a coin an odd number of times, the resulting experimental probability cannot possibly be exactly 1/2. It should be easy to see that this remains true even if the coin is tossed googleplex+1 number of times.A negative difference could be because the number of trials was too small and, with an increased number of trials, the experimental probability would gradually increase towards the theoretical probability.It is also possible that the theoretical model is wrong. You may have assumed that the coin that was being tossed was fair when it was not. Or there were some factors that you failed to take full account of in your theoretical model.Or, of course, it could be a mixture of both.First, it is important to note that it is very unlikely that the experimental and theoretical probabilities will agree exactly. As an extreme example, if you toss a coin an odd number of times, the resulting experimental probability cannot possibly be exactly 1/2. It should be easy to see that this remains true even if the coin is tossed googleplex+1 number of times.A negative difference could be because the number of trials was too small and, with an increased number of trials, the experimental probability would gradually increase towards the theoretical probability.It is also possible that the theoretical model is wrong. You may have assumed that the coin that was being tossed was fair when it was not. Or there were some factors that you failed to take full account of in your theoretical model.Or, of course, it could be a mixture of both.First, it is important to note that it is very unlikely that the experimental and theoretical probabilities will agree exactly. As an extreme example, if you toss a coin an odd number of times, the resulting experimental probability cannot possibly be exactly 1/2. It should be easy to see that this remains true even if the coin is tossed googleplex+1 number of times.A negative difference could be because the number of trials was too small and, with an increased number of trials, the experimental probability would gradually increase towards the theoretical probability.It is also possible that the theoretical model is wrong. You may have assumed that the coin that was being tossed was fair when it was not. Or there were some factors that you failed to take full account of in your theoretical model.Or, of course, it could be a mixture of both.


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