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Just dividing 6 and 40 and looking at the percentage that pops up, we could obviously see that it is unlikely that it will happen the next day. The percentage is 15% which is supposedly added in the unlikely section.

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YOFTAHE A TEGEGNE

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7y ago

The answer depends on the long term probability of late deliveries. Since that information is not given, it is not possible to answer the question.

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Anonymous

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Q: In the last 40 days Mr.Neptune's newspaper has been delivered late 6 times what is the probability?
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