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What does 95 percent confidence interval mean?

You construct a 95% confidence interval for a parameter such as mean, variance etc. It is an interval in which you are 95 % certain (there is a 95 % probability) that the true unknown parameter lies. The concept of a 95% Confidence Interval (95% CI) is one that is somewhat elusive. This is primarily due to the fact that many students of statistics are simply required to memorize its definition without fully understanding its implications. Here we will try to cover both the definition as well as what the definition actually implies. The definition that students are required to memorize is: If the procedure for computing a 95% confidence interval is used over and over, 95% of the time the interval will contain the true parameter value. Students are then told that this definition does not mean that an interval has a 95% chance of containing the true parameter value. The reason that this is true, is because a 95% confidence interval will either contain the true parameter value of interest or it will not (thus, the probability of containing the true value is either 1 or 0). However, you have a 95% chance of creating one that does. In other words, this is similar to saying, "you have a 50% of getting a heads in a coin toss, however, once you toss the coin, you either have a head or a tail". Thus, you have a 95% chance of creating a 95% CI for a parameter that contains the true value. However, once you've done it, your CI either covers the parameter or it doesn't.


What is the most controllable method of increasing the precision of or narrowing the confidence interval?

Confidence intervals represent an interval that is likely, at some confidence level, to contain the true population parameter of interest. Confidence interval is always qualified by a particular confidence level, expressed as a percentage. The end points of the confidence interval can also be referred to as confidence limits.


What are the uses of statistics?

Statistics is primarily used either to make predictions based on the data available or to make conclusions about a population of interest when only sample data is available. In both cases statistics tries to make sense of the uncertainty in the available data. When making predictions statisticians determine if the difference in the data points are due to chance or if there is a systematic relationship. The more the systematic relationship that is observed the better the prediction a statistician can make. The more random error that is observed the more uncertain the prediction. Statisticians can provide a measure of the uncertainty to the prediction. When making inference about a population, the statistician is trying to estimate how good a summary statistic of a sample really is at estimating a population statistic. For example, a statistician may be asked to estimate the proportion of women who smoke in the US. This is a population statistic. The only data however may be a random sample of 1000 women. By estimating the proportion of women who smoke in the random sample of 1000, a statistician can determine how likely the sample proportion is close to the population proportion. A statistician would report the sample proportion and an interval around that sample proportion. The interval would indicate with 95% or 99% certainty that the population proportion is within that interval, assuming the sample is really random. School Grades, medical fields when determining whether something works, and marketing works


What does 'theta' mean in statistics?

Oh, honey, 'theta' in statistics is just a fancy term for a parameter or variable. It's used to represent an unknown constant in a statistical model. So basically, it's the mystery ingredient that statisticians are trying to figure out.


What is the difference between the relative abundance and the percent?

relative abundance:the number of organisms of a particular kind as a percentage of the total number of organisms of a given area or community; the number of birds of a particular species as a percentage of the total bird population of a given area percent:figured or expressed on the basis of a rate or proportion per hundred (used in combination with a number in expressing rates of interest, proportions, etc.)

Related Questions

What is the significance of interest Rates for an economy?

the significance is that the government profit from specific interest rates in an economy


What are the key considerations when conducting a biorxiv review for a scientific manuscript?

When conducting a biorxiv review for a scientific manuscript, key considerations include evaluating the novelty and significance of the research, assessing the methodology and data analysis, checking for ethical standards and conflicts of interest, and providing constructive feedback for improvement.


What is high gearing?

A high proportion of fixed interest funding.


What is the significance of conducting research for an undergraduate thesis?

Conducting research for an undergraduate thesis is significant because it allows students to delve deeper into a topic of interest, develop critical thinking and analytical skills, and contribute new knowledge to their field of study. It also provides valuable experience in the research process, which is beneficial for future academic and professional endeavors.


What is the difference between population and parameters?

The population is a group of interest, such as the people who filled out a recent survey about their age. The parameter is the descriptive measure of that population. So in this example, a parameter could be the average age of the people who filled out the survey.


How can you conduct debate?

By getting an opposing topic for the two groups and conducting it by the interest of everyone who is debating.


What factors should I consider when conducting a loan interest comparison?

When conducting a loan interest comparison, consider factors such as the interest rate, loan term, fees, and any additional features or benefits offered by the lender. These factors can impact the overall cost of the loan and help you choose the most suitable option for your financial needs.


What is an equity interest definition in science?

An equity interest definition in science refers to a proportion of ownership, typically via investment in a business. Stocks are also known as equities.


What direct lobbying technique are used by interest groups to influence public policy?

Answer this question… Conducting lawsuits


What is the significance of the populism?

The significance of the populism is to appeal to the interest and conceptions of the general people. Populism was a term that was used against politicians opponents.


What mechanisms would be most likely to help motivate managers to act in the best interest of shareholders?

Increase the proportion of executive compensation that comes from stock options and reduce the proportion that is paid as cash salaries


What is the significance of interest rate on an economy?

to make the economy more effective and efficient