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That's only possible to calculate if more detail is given. For example, how likely is the person to buy jelly normally? How much of it do they consume on average? how likely are they to buy peanut butter? what is their average consumption? Do they actually enjoy eating peanut butter and jelly at the same time? etc...

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Q: What are the odds of running out of peanut butter and jelly at the same time?
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