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If you are picking a card and putting it back before picking the next, it would be 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/16

If you are not replacing the cards, it would be 26/52 * 25/51 * 24/50 * 23/49 = 358800 / 6497400, or approximately 5.5%.

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