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The first step is to find a model that adequately represents the situation. You then apply reasoning based on the laws of science, along with some assumption regarding the model, to find out how likely a given outcome is. That value is its theoretical probability.

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Q: How do you find the theoretical probability of an outcome?
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Related questions

What is thecretical probability?

Theoretical Probability is the measure of likelihood that an event will have a particular outcome.


When could you use theoretical probability?

When there is a good theoretical model for the experiment and the model allows you to identify all the factors affecting the outcome and determine their impact on the outcome. Even if you cannot identify all the factors, you can still use theoretical probability but the predictions from your model will be less reliable. Econometrics is a good example of using theoretical probability based on an incomplete understanding of the model.


What is law of large numbers?

when a probability experiment is repeated a large number of times, the relative frequency probability of an outcome will approach its theoretical probability.


What is theoretical probaility?

The probability that a certain outcome will occur which is determined through reasoning or calculation.


Is the mean of a random variable the theoretical average of a probability experiment and is not a possible outcome?

TRUE


How do you test theoretical probability?

The theoretical probability provides a model for predicting the outcome of trials. You then carry out a number of trials. Compare the outcome of your trials with the results predicted by the theoretical model. The comparison will usually involve "hypothesis testing", a branch of statistics. This is a method to test how likely the actual outcomes are if the theoretical probabilities were true. The exact nature of the test will depend on the theoretical basis and so the answer cannot be simplified.


When you win a lotto is this an example of experimental or theoretical probability?

Neither. Experimental or theoretical probabilities are methods that may be used to determine the probability that a given set of numbers will win, whereas your winning is the outcome of the event.


What are the similarities of theoretical and empirical probability?

They are both measures of the likelihood of events whose outcome is not normally known.


How are experimental probability and theoretical proability alike?

Both are measures of the likelihood of events whose outcome is uncertain.


What is the difference between experimental and theoretical probability?

The difference between experimental probability and theoretical probability is that experimental probability is the probability determined in practice. Theoretical probability is the probability that should happen. For example, the theoretical probability of getting any single number on a number cube is one sixth. But maybe you roll it twice and get a four both times. That would be an example of experimental probability.


What are the types of probability?

They are generally agreed to be theoretical and experimental probabilities. Probability is probability. The concept may be applied to any causal event which has more than one potential outcome.


Is probable a synonym for analytic?

No. Probable means that a particular outcome is likely. Probability means the analytic likelihood of a particular outcome. Analysis (analytic, i.e. the method) means, for example, the evaluation of the outcomes to determine how well the experimental probability aligns with the theoretical probability.