the probability of the offspring for a second generation.
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Bayesian analysis is based on the principle that the true state of systems is unknown and is expressed in terms of its probabilities. These probabilities are improved as evidence is compiled.
I do not add probabilities to anybody!
Empirical probabilities.
Things and numbers don't have probabilities. Situations and events that can happen have probabilities.
If the events are independent then you can multiply the individual probabilities. But if they are not, you have to use conditional probabilities.