It is quite complicated.
First you need to get the accident rates for the airline on which you are planning to fly. One measure is the number of crashes per million kilometres or million hours of flying.
Next, calculate the distance or number of hours you will be flying. Then one measure of the probability is the ratio of the two corresponding values.
You could refine the calculation by adjusting for the aircraft type. Also, since most crashes happen at take-off or landing, you may want to consider which airports you are flying from and to, including any that you are transiting.
You calculate the statistical probability of dying in a plane crash in the same way that you calculate the probability of anything else. You simply divide the number of expected outcomes by the number of possible outcomes. To determine the statistical probability of dying in a plane crash, you divide the number of people that have died in a plane crash by the number of people that have flown in planes. You can aggregate this anyway you want, over whatever period of time you want, so long as you properly state the conditions under which you perform your calculation.
Probability is the predictive chance that something will happen, such as the probability of heads coming up on a coin toss being 0.5.Consequence, on the other hand, is the result of some outcome, not necessarily related in any way to probability, but it could be. For instance, you may have a coin toss at the beginning of a football game. That is based on probability. The consequence, though, is the determination of who kicks off first.An example of non probabilistic consequence is the decision to swerve your car off of the road into a tree. The consequence of that action is that you will have a crash. Yes, its an extreme and unlikely example, but it shows that probability and consequence are two different things.
It is 100% because he is an idiot who will die in a car crash when he is 12 years old which is below 100 years old. Which Alex are you talking about?
Crash probability is at an elevated level
There is not enough information to give a sensible answer to the question.I am in a room on the first floor of a building. The probability of my getting killed in a car crash in the next ten seconds is pretty close to zero. . . . . . . . . . . Yes, it was zero.If I was trying to drive across town at top speed, while wearing a blindfold, I would say that the probability is quite high.The probability depends on:your location,your activity,the time span for the event,your vehicle - and its safety,the presence of obstacles or other vehicles,your speed, and those of other cars in the vicinity,your driving skills and the skills of other drivers,your desire to remain alive.You have not provided any information on these factors and so it is not possible to give a more helpful answer.
You calculate the statistical probability of dying in a plane crash in the same way that you calculate the probability of anything else. You simply divide the number of expected outcomes by the number of possible outcomes. To determine the statistical probability of dying in a plane crash, you divide the number of people that have died in a plane crash by the number of people that have flown in planes. You can aggregate this anyway you want, over whatever period of time you want, so long as you properly state the conditions under which you perform your calculation.
true
In all probability - no. No reliable evidence for that has ever been made public.
Probability is the predictive chance that something will happen, such as the probability of heads coming up on a coin toss being 0.5.Consequence, on the other hand, is the result of some outcome, not necessarily related in any way to probability, but it could be. For instance, you may have a coin toss at the beginning of a football game. That is based on probability. The consequence, though, is the determination of who kicks off first.An example of non probabilistic consequence is the decision to swerve your car off of the road into a tree. The consequence of that action is that you will have a crash. Yes, its an extreme and unlikely example, but it shows that probability and consequence are two different things.
Using Scripts.
Chances of being in a plane crash are 1 in 11 million
Probably not, there is no Crash game being worked on at the present.
No, you have a far higher chance of being in a car crash involving normal vehicles.
about 6.12%
50%
You are 40 times more likely to have a crash while using a mobile phone - than not using one at all !
Very good question. I am not sure if the market will crash or not, but I am for sure that the economy is in alot worse situation than most of us know. I would say the probability is certainly very high that a crash will occur. However, I am not sure if it will be in 2009 or 2010. Only time will tell.