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four pennies....
Anyone can flip a coin four times so I say 100 percent probability. On the other maybe you should ask the odds of the results from four flips.
The odds of each coin toss are 50-50. The coin has no memory; there is no record of what the last four tosses are. EVERY toss is at 50-50 odds.
2
Assuming it is a fair coin, the probability is 1/24 = 1/16.