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Q: What is the probability of an asteroid hitting earth?
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What is the probability of hitting a target if in the long run 71 out of every 489 attempts actually hit the target?

The probability is 71/489 = 0.145, approx.


What are the chances of a future extinction event?

Species become extinct all the time. So the probability that one species or another will become extinct in the near future is one (meaning a certainty). But if you are asking whether a catastrophic event -- such as a huge asteroid striking the Earth and causing cataclysmic devastation -- will lead to mass extinction of all Earth's species, well, that's another matter altogether. According to NASA, the probability that the Earth will be struck by an undiscovered near-Earth object (NEO) that is bigger than one kilometer in diameter is one in 100,000 per year. The chances are much greater -- one in just 100 -- for objects the size of the one believed to have devastated a region of Siberia in 1908. (See provided link to the Tunguska event.) I am assuming that a 1-km asteroid would wreak sufficient havoc to destroy most, if not all, life on the planet.


What is the probability of the sun crashing into the earth?

It is 0. The sun will eventually expand into a red giant and "swallow" the earth but that is not the same as crashing into it.


What is an event with a probability of zero?

mars having zebras as TV hosts for their segment on Earth


There are 38 numbers on a roulette wheel and I bet 12 of them. What is the probability of not hitting one of my numbers on 11 consecutive spins?

If the probability of an event will occur is p, then the probability that it will occur in n trials is pn.(That's p raised to the n power). So if you bet on 12 numbers, then (38-12=26) numbers are empty. The probability of the ball landing on one of these empty numbers is 26/38. So (26/38)^11 = 0.01538, which is about 1.538 % or a 1 in 65 chance.

Related questions

Should the public be worried about an asteroid hitting the earth?

No. The chances of an asteroid large enough to cause significant damage is very low.


What is the probability the asteroid 99942 Apophis will strike earth?

The answer to this can be found in the links I will place below.


What is the probability of a meteorite the size of a car hitting the earth?

The probability of a meteorite the size of a car hitting the Earth is very small. While it is difficult to provide an exact probability due to the unpredictable nature of meteorite impacts, the likelihood of a specific-sized meteorite hitting the Earth is rare. Earth's atmosphere provides some protection by burning up smaller meteoroids before they reach the surface.


What is an asteroid if it leaves its orbit?

An asteroid is a small rocky body that orbits the sun; if it leaves its orbit, it can potentially enter the Earth's atmosphere, becoming a meteor and potentially hitting the Earth's surface as a meteorite.


What effect did the asteroid hitting earth have on it?

It all depends on the size of the asteroid and the speed. When an asteroid about 6 miles in diameter slammed into the Gulf of Mexico 65 million years ago, it killed off every large lifeform on Earth, including all of the dinosaurs.


What effect did the asteroid have on hitting the earth?

It all depends on the size of the asteroid and the speed. When an asteroid about 6 miles in diameter slammed into the Gulf of Mexico 65 million years ago, it killed off every large lifeform on Earth, including all of the dinosaurs.


What is the percentage of an asteroid hitting earth in the next 100 years?

An asteroid or meteor that would cause climatic change, about 1 in 600,000 to 1 in 10,000,000.


Can an asteroid hit a car?

Considering the probability of asteroids making it through the Earth's atmosphere, and the low coverage of cars on the Earth's surface, this is highly unlikely.


How can you stop an asteroid from hitting earth?

Small asteroids can be deflected by explosives (ordinary or nuclear) if they are far enough away. The problem is getting the explosives there. Asteroids travel at orbital speeds of thousands of kilometers an hour, and a large rocket would be required to reach the asteroid and match its speed, so that it could rendezvous and detonate. Hitting an asteroid with a head-on shot would be extremely difficult if not impossible, and could result in a shower of smaller pieces hitting the Earth.


What could have caused the dinosaurs to go extinct?

an asteroid hitting the earth, drought, volcanoes, disease, or rising sea levels


What is the name of the asteroid that will be near earth in 2029?

99942 Apophis is an asteroid where initial observations indicated a small probability (up to 2.7%) that it would strike the Earth in 2029.Later observations concluded that the asteroid would miss the Earth.The chances are now set at a one in 3 million that it will hit Earth.


How long before the metor as big as Texas will hit earth?

There are no known asteroids the size of Texas that have even the slightest chance of hitting Earth. The only known Texas-sized asteroid is Ceres, which has a stable orbit in the asteroid belt and could never hit Earth.