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Q: What is the probability of getting pregnant using the withdrawal method?

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No. Probable means that a particular outcome is likely. Probability means the analytic likelihood of a particular outcome. Analysis (analytic, i.e. the method) means, for example, the evaluation of the outcomes to determine how well the experimental probability aligns with the theoretical probability.

I believe that stimulation is always inappropriate. Simulation, maybe, but that was not what the question was about.

There are two main ways: One is to calculate the theoretical probability. You will need to develop a model for the experiment and then use the laws of science and mathematics to determine the probability of the event (subject to the model's assumptions). A major alternative is the empirical or experimental method. This requires performing the trial many times. The probability of the event is estimated by the proportion of the total number of trials which result in the outcome of interest occurring.

In experimental probability the probabilities of the outcomes are calculated as the proportion of "successful" outcomes in repeated trials. In theoretical probability these are calculated on the basis of laws of science being applied to a model of the experiment. For example, to find the probability of rolling a six on a standard die, you could roll the die many times (N) and count the number times that it comes up 6 (n). The experimental probability is n/N. The theoretical approach would be to work from the principle that each outcome was equally likely - since it is a fair die - and since the total probability must be 1, the probability of any one face must be 1/6. The second method will only work if there is a good mathematical model.

Related questions

The chances are that you will get pregnant as the withdrawal method is highly unreliable.

Yes. Withdrawal is the WORST decision anyone can make.

Yes there is a chance of being pregnant.

Withdrawal doesn't work, so you just get pregnant.

Nearly 100%!

yes, this has happened to a lot of people. The withdrawal method is NOT as reliable as a condom.

If you keep using it the odds are pretty good that you will become pregnant,

Withdrawal DOESN'T work. You'll get pregnant!

It's NEVER good to use that method, it's not birthcontrol!There is always pre-cum and you can get pregnant. Lots of ppl do every day. Get a proper contraception.

no there shouldn't be any health concerns many women get pregnant using this method

I'm not sure what would cause psychological problems and for who. The man for not getting to ejaculate inside of her? No, that will not cause mental problems. Worrying about getting pregnant might do it though. Withdrawal is not a reliable birth control method and 1/4 get pregnant by it. There is sperm in pre-ejaculate so it is not safe unless you also avoid intercourse when you ovulate.

If you're on birth control then you don't need to use to withdrawal method because you're having protected sex. It is very unlikely that you will get pregnant

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