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You think probable to ionosphere.
Geometric Probability
Probability is related to statistics in a direct manner. When one is doing a research for statistics, probability has to be used especially in sampling a small region.
You divide the area of the shaded region by the area of the full circle. For example, if the radius of the shaded region is 2 meters, the probability would be 4pi / 36pi, or 1/9. If the shaded region is a 'slice' of the circle, the chance is just the fraction of the circle which the 'slice' is.
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