There is a One in two chance that the first child is a girl (not a boy), then there is the same chance (1/2) that the second child is not a boy. The chance that neither is a boy is (1/2) * (1/2) = 1/4.
Another way to look at it is like a table or grid. There are four possibilities, represented by the grid. The rows represent the sex of the first child, and the columns the second child. Where they intersect is the combination of the two. So you want any square where there are no boys (both girls). So there is only 1 square out of the 4 where this is true (denoted by a Y for Yes, the others denoted by n for no):
* | B | G |
B | n | n |
G | n | Y |
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Assuming that boys and girls are equally likely, it is 11/16.
There is no simple answer.First of all, the probability of boys is 0.517 not0.5.Second, the probabilities are not independent.If you choose to ignore these important facts, then the answer is 2/3.
The genders of children within the same family are not independent. So the answer will depends on the pattern of children's gender in the family's ancestry, as well as the age of the parents. However, if you make the unreasonable and unjustified assumption that the genders are independent and that the probability of either gender is 1/2, then the answer is (1/2)5 = 1/32.
14/33
1 in 2