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The theoretical probability of an event is the probability that is calculated on theoretical considerations. This normally entails modelling the experiment and then employing the laws of science to determine the event space and the probabilities of the outcomes.

For example, suppose you wish to determine the theoretical probability of getting the number 5 when you roll a normal die. There are 6 possible outcomes. If the die is fair then each of these outcomes is equally likely. Therefore the probability of any particular number - for example, 5 - is 1/6.

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