Start with examples like flipping a coin, rolling a die or spinning a dreidel. Then explain in terms they understand. That depends very much on the age of the child.
Chat with our AI personalities
The fundamental concept is that there are many processes in the world that contain a random element. If that were not the case, everything would be deterministic and there would be no need for probability of statistics.
It would depend on the parents' genes and age. Globally, the probability is approx 0.483
The answer to this is 1 minus the probability that they will have 3 or fewer children. This would happen only if they had a boy as the first, second or third child. The probability they have a boy as first child is 0.5 The probability they have a boy as second is 0.25 The probability they have a boy as third is 0.125 Thus the total probability is 0.875 And so the probability they will have more than three children is 1-0.875 or 0.125
If the gender of a child were an independent variable then the genders of the existing children would be irrelevant and so the probability of the next child being a girl would be approximately 1/2.It would be approximately 1/2 because the overall proportion is not exactly half. However, and more important, is the fact that the gender of a child is affected by the parents' genes and so is not independent of the gender of previous children.
No, you could not be sure. There would be a high probability that you would roll ten but with a random event, you can never be sure of a specific outcome such as that.