It sounds like Bayesian statistics.
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No, the combined probability is the product of the probability of their separate occurrances.
Divide the number of events that can happen a certain way by the number of all possible events.
If the probability of an event is 0.02, then the probability of two such events occurring is 0.022 or 0.0004.
Yes, it is possible for two dependent events to have the same probability of occurring. The probability of an event is dependent on the outcomes of other events, and it is influenced by the relationship between these events. So, it is conceivable for two dependent events to have equal probabilities.